September 29, 2022
Moderated discussion
Dr. Tuomas Malinen, CEO, GnS Economics
Moderátor: Dr. Géza Sebestyén, Head of Economic Policy Center, MCC
The war in our neighboring country has turned the financial world upside down. As a result, the foreign exchange market developments became today’s dominant issue. The dollar has been strengthening spectacularly, recently reaching a 20-year high, while the euro has hit an all-time low. Which currencies could be affected by a possible currency crisis? What is the future of the euro area and what are the arguments for and against leaving the eurozone?
Q&A
September 30, 2022
Registration / Welcome
Opening Remarks
Dr. Zoltán Szalai, Director General, MCC
Keynote Speech
Márton Nagy, Minister of Economic Development
Panel I.: From Sanctions to Rations - War Economy in Europe
The economic impact of the war and sanctions has affected countries around the world, but the costs are particularly significant for the states of the region. What lessons can be drawn from previous wars? Which countries will be the biggest winners and losers of sanctions policy?
Prof. Christopher Davis, Professorial Research Fellow, Oxford Institute of Population Ageing
Dr. Howard J. Shatz, Senior Economist and Professor of Policy Analysis, RAND
Dr. John Laughland, Author; Lecturer in Political Science and History, Catholic Institute of the Vendée, France; Visiting Fellow, MCC
Dr. Gáspár Maróth, Secretary of State for Defense Policy and Defense Developments, Hungarian Ministry of Defense
Dr. Géza Sebestyén, Head of Economic Policy Center, MCC
Moderator: László Bernát Veszprémy, Historian; Editor-in-Chief, Corvinák
Coffee Break
Panel II.: Is a New Global Food Crisis a Reality?
Ukraine's food production is enough to feed roughly 400 million people in peacetime, but the war and sanctions have led to not only a sharp rise in prices, but also severe food shortages. Who is most affected, and what can we expect in the future?
Dr. David Laborde Debucquet, Senior Research Fellow, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
Amanda Martinez, Economic Risk Analyst, UN World Food Programme
Dr. Dávid Mezei, Head of Agricultural and EU Relations Department, Takarékbank Zrt. And MKB Bank Nyrt.
Tamás Tarpataki, Deputy State Secretary for Agricultural Markets of Hungary, Ministry of Agriculture
Moderator: Máté Litkei, Director, Climate Policy Institute
Lunch Break
Panel III.: What’s next: Exposure to Energy Imports and Rising Energy Prices
The price of gas and electricity in Europe has risen by orders of magnitude, and it is not inconceivable that some states will face shortages this winter. How high can prices go? Who will benefit and who will be hurt by the current energy market situation?
Dr. Zoltán Ács, Economist; Professor, The London School of Economics; Visiting Fellow, MCC
Dr. György Bacsa, Executive Vice President, Group Strategic Operations and Corporate Development, MOL Group
Dr. Tuomas Malinen, CEO, GnS Economics
Dr. Georg Zachmann, Senior Fellow, Bruegel
Moderator: Boris Kálnoky, Head of the Media School, MCC
Coffee Break
Panel IV.: Economic Impacts – Human and Financial Costs
The Russia-Ukraine war has sent inflation soaring and disrupted global economic growth at once. What are the economic costs of the war? What are the main risks for the future?
Dr. Corrado Macchiarelli, Research Manager for Global Macroeconomics, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
Olga Pindyuk, Economist, Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies
Prof. Guillaume Vuillemey, Associate Professor, HEC, Paris
Orsolya Ráczová, Deputy Director, GLOBSEC Policy Institute
Moderator: Dr. Balázs Szepesi, Head of the School of Economics, MCC
October 1, 2022
Registration / Welcome
Possible Ways Out of the Crisis
The title of the panel discussion, „Possible ways out of the crisis”, conveys the content. The panelists will explore the issues from an economic perspective, but will also address the social consequences of the changes affecting the economy. The focus will be on the changes caused by the crisis situation in Germany and the steps already taken. In addition, the panel discussion will aim to outline possible solutions for companies to deal with the crisis situation in the autumn-winter season.
Dr. Thomas Narbeshuber, Vice President, Central & South Eastern Europe, BASF
Prof. Dr. Fritz Söllner, University Professor, Ilmenau University of Technology
Dr. Marie-Theres Thiell, Managing Director, DialogUngarn; Former CEO, ELMŰ / ÉMÁSZ Hungary
Moderator: Dr. Bence Bauer, Director, German-Hungarian Institute for European Cooperation
Coffee Break
How Long Will the War in Ukraine Last?
Dániel Bartha, President, Centre for Euro-Atlantic Integration and Democracy (CEID)
Anton Bendarzsevszkij, Technical Director, Oeconomus Gazdaságkutató Alapítvány
Dr. Attila Demkó, Head of the Center for Geopolitics at MCC
Dr. Csaba Moldicz, Head of the Center for International Economy, MCC
Moderator: Dr. Rajmund Kiss, Head of the Center for Diplomatic Studies, MCC
Lunch Break
Green Transition in Times of War
This panel will focus on the green transition in the shadow of the Russian-Ukrainian war. Our speakers will present the efforts to achieve a green transition and discuss the challenges in the face of the Russian-Ukrainian war, historic inflation and looming unemployment. They will talk about the efforts of the EU and the US toward a green transition, what developments we can expect in this area in the coming period, how the nature of the two green transitions differ, and whether the Western world has a recipe for this, and what makes sense. to climate policy and targets, if ppm breaks records every year, if the rest of the world follows a different path, and as a result, global greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise? Furthermore, they will see to what extent the hopeless Russian-Ukrainian war, historic inflation and looming unemployment hinder the green transition. They will also discuss how to ensure a safe food supply in times of climate change and how to improve governance mechanisms to achieve the green transition.
Dr. Gavin D. J. Harper, Met4Tech Research Fellow, University of Birmingham
Emmet Penney, Editor-in-Chief, Grid Brief
Shaun Riordan, Director of the Chair for Diplomacy and Cyberspace, European Institute of International Studies
Stefan Sipka, Policy Analyst, European Policy Centre
Máté Litkei, Director, Climate Policy Insitute
Moderator: Gergely Kitta, Head of Strategy and Communication, Climate Policy Institute